This piece by Robin Wright in the New Yorker details her recent conversation with Mohammad Javad Zarif, Iran's Foreign Minister, May 23, 2014:
* * *
I first met Mohammad Javad Zarif, the Iranian foreign
minister, in the nineteen-eighties, when he was a junior member of the Iranian
delegation at the United Nations. This week’s issue of The New Yorker includes
a Profile based on twenty-five years of conversations with him, including four
in Tehran and New York since last September. Zarif is now the pivotal broker in
nuclear talks between his government and six world powers—Britain, China,
France, Germany, Russia, and the United States. After eight months of
diplomacy, the serious drafting of terms for a long-term deal to insure that
Iran does not acquire a nuclear weapon began last week, in Vienna. The deadline
for reaching an agreement is July 20th.
A nuclear deal would almost certainly affect Iran’s
political future. “If we can ascertain and show to our people that the West is
ready to deal with Iran on the basis of mutual respect and mutual interests and
equal footing, then it will have an impact on almost every aspect of Iran’s
foreign policy behavior—and some aspects of Iran’s domestic policy,” Zarif
said.
Iran and the six powers must address points of contention on
virtually every aspect of a nuclear deal, from the future of suspect facilities
to accounting for past programs, but Zarif has been noticeably upbeat about
prospects for a breakthrough. I asked him how difficult it would be to reach an
agreement. The red lines—particularly between Washington and Tehran—often seem
insurmountable.
“It’s going to be both hard and easy,” he said. “Easy,
because ostensibly we have a convergence of views on the objectives. We don’t
want nuclear weapons, and they say the objective is to insure Iran does not
have nuclear weapons. So, if that is the objective, in my view it’s already
achieved. We just have to find mechanisms for agreeing on the process.”
But the details “may be cumbersome,” Zarif added. “More so
because those who do not want to see an agreement, those who seek their
interests in greater mistrust and conflict, are hard at work. And they do their
best to prevent.” He presumably meant opponents in the United States and
Israel, as well as in Iran. But he predicted that they were regrouping to
prepare for what comes next if a deal is struck.
“Now they have had time to collect themselves and to come up
with probably new tactics,” he said. “I still believe that they’ll lose. But
they are going to make life a bit tougher for those who want to do something
positive.”
* * *
For Iran, the singular theme in negotiations with the six
major powers is respect. “Respect for Iran’s rights,” as Zarif put it, is a
euphemism for the right to enrich uranium, a process that can be used both for
peaceful nuclear energy and for weapons. Tehran believes that enrichment is
necessary for building alternative energy sources. Within a generation, because
of soaring domestic oil consumption, Iran could run out of oil for export—the
country’s main source of revenue. Iran also wants to restore Persia’s historic
standing in the annals of science, and it sees nuclear energy as crucial to
modern development. It feels the West wants to block any such advancement.
“Nuclear talks are not about nuclear capability.” Zarif told
me. “They are about Iranian integrity and dignity.” He went on, “If the other
side understands the importance of dignity and integrity to the Iranian people,
and grasps the fact that various Iranians—who may never have seen [facilities
at] Natanz or Arak or Fordo—believe that dignity is not up for sale, that their
technology and development is not up for sale … then they will be able to reach
an understanding with us.”
* * *
Iran’s nuclear debate is technically the domain of the
Supreme National Security Council, which advises Supreme Leader Ayatollah
Khamenei. He will have the last word. But there is a smaller
committee—including Iran’s new President, Hassan Rouhani—that has worked out
specific terms for the nuclear talks.
“It’s a debate,” Zarif said of discussions within the
Iranian government. “And debate is healthy, heated or otherwise. It’s a very,
very serious subject and it has important implications, and that is why it is a
difficult decision. And a lot of mistrust is there, of the West. So every step
is taken, I hope, with a lot of prudence, and consideration.”
When I was in Tehran in March, I asked Zarif how much a
nuclear deal depended on him. “I don’t know,” he said. An aide, sitting nearby,
chimed in quickly, “Ninety per cent! The outcome depends ninety per cent on
him.”
“I hope that’s not true,” Zarif said.
* * *
President Rouhani is a striking change from his predecessor,
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, even in Iran’s controlled political
environment—particularly when it comes to foreign policy.
“We have a different perspective of the world,” Zarif said
of the stance that he and Rouhani have taken. “We don’t necessarily see the
world in terms of black and white. We believe there is the possibility for
engagement and interaction. We believe we do not necessarily need to agree with
somebody to be able to talk to them or to engage with them or to reach an
understanding.”
But, he went on, “at the end of the day, we are actually
much more self-confident. So we believe we can negotiate and achieve our goals,
because we have the ability to make our point logically and to convince our
negotiating partners that they can have a deal with us.”
Even so, there is nothing to prevent the Islamic Republic
from returning to hard-line positions. “The electorate can send us back home,”
he said. “I retired at the early age of forty-seven”—when Ahmadinejad squeezed
him out of the Foreign Service—“so I can retire again. And I think people have
every right to make that choice.”
Zarif ascribed Ahmadinejad’s election as President, in 2005,
to the West’s failure to respond to diplomatic outreach during the reform
period under his predecessor, Mohammad Khatami. “Iran adopted an open, engaging
policy,” Zarif said. But the West’s reaction was “based on illusions—and,
unfortunately, a bunch of people sitting in the White House who had extremely
limited knowledge and grasp of world realities. The reaction to this openness
was arrogant, wishful, and delusional. And the Iranian people believed that
their dignity had been compromised, that the openness of our administration had
been confronted with hostility and excessive demands. So they elected someone
diametrically opposed to that approach.”
A sense of victimization permeates Iranian thinking. “Every
statement that comes out of Washington that is not respectful and is trying to
intimidate the Iranian people—is trying to put pressure on the Iranian
people—strikes that very, very sensitive chord in the Iranian psyche, and they
immediately react,” Zarif said.
I mentioned that the anti-American rhetoric—notably, things
I’d heard while attending a Friday-prayers service—was more provocative than
anything said by Americans. From the women’s section, I heard shouts of “Death
to America” three times. I asked Zarif why Iranians are not sensitive to the
things that they want Americans to be sensitive about.
“We’re talking about something done by the public versus
something by the President of the United States,” Zarif said, a reference to
statements, made by both Obama and George W. Bush, that military strikes
against Iran remain an option. “The people of Iran respond to intimidation and
pressure negatively; almost they are allergic to it… . It produces resentment
among the Iranian people, and the chanting that you see in the Friday prayers.”
He went on, “I assure you, these people are the same people
who went out of their way after 9/11 presenting their condolences to the
Americans, even walking in the streets with candles, commemorating and
expressing their sympathy and unity of purpose, actually, with the Americans.
And, in two consecutive weeks, there was no slogan [at Friday Prayers]. But
what changed it? Statements by Don Rumsfeld and Condi Rice humiliating the
Iranian people.”
America should have learned better over the past thirty-five
years, Zarif said. Iranians “respond very positively to respect. Try it. It
won’t kill you.”
Zarif told me, “There are two futures. One future will be
greater conflict, greater tension, greater mistrust—basically, more of the same
as we had in the past. But more of the same may not be easily manageable. And
it may even get worse, and more dangerous. So that’s one option, which I hope
will not be before us.”
I asked him if that outcome included another Middle East
war. The United States and Israel have both warned that if diplomacy fails the
military option remains on the table.
“I’m not that worried about war,” Zarif said. “Insecurity is
the word I would use—insecurity and tension and conflict. I thought civilized
people had abandoned wars.” But then he added, “Sometimes people don’t make
rational decisions.”
The second, more hopeful future, he said, is one in which,
despite differences, the world powers “can work together on serious issues of
mutual concern and try to address them. And these issues include problems of
instability, extremism, and terrorism in the Middle East and Afghanistan, and a
whole range of other possibilities, including Iran being a reliable source of
energy for Europe.”
* * *
For decades, Iran was one of two pillars of American foreign
policy in the Middle East. Israel was the other. I asked Zarif if the United
States and Iran had any common interests thirty-five years after their
diplomatic split.
“Did I say there were common interests?” Zarif, who is known
for his wry humor, replied. “Iran has a national-security interest in
nonproliferation, so, if the United States is interested in nonproliferation,
that is one issue. Iran has a national-security interest in freedom of
navigation in the Persian Gulf. We have a national-security interest in
stability in this region. We have a national-security interest in fighting terrorism
in Afghanistan, instability in Afghanistan.” He continued, “We have a
national-security interest in stability and in maintaining stable governments
in the region. We have a national-security interest in in putting an end to the
bloodshed in Syria.” In sum, he said, “If I take what the United States says at
face value, there should be convergence.”
* * *
Javad Zarif on Iran's Nuclear Negotiations, via Campaign Against Sanctions and Military Intervention in Iran, May 23, 2014
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